Weekly report cards on how the model did, start/sit calls and rest-of-season movers, all built from the same simulations as the projections.
We grade our own predictions every week. Week 8: last Thursday's start/sit post went 7 for 9, but the model's overall start/sit calls slipped to 58%, our weakest week this season. Tight ends were the bright spot. Here are the biggest misses and surprises.
KC Concepcion climbed the most in our rest-of-season rankings since last Friday, and Garrett Wilson slid for the second week in a row. Plus three players to trade for and three to sell.
Five players to start this week, led by Jacoby Brissett and Tucker Kraft, and four to bench, including Patrick Mahomes and Xavier Worthy. Plus three hurt players to start if they're cleared, including Jahmyr Gibbs.
The Vikings and Cardinals have the easiest schedules for Weeks 15 to 17, and the Eagles have the toughest. Here are all 32 teams, broken down by position, and how much the schedule should matter in a trade.
We grade our own predictions every week. Week 7: all five of our Thursday sits were right, but only one of our five starts paid off. The model got 65% of its start/sit calls right, tied for our best week this season. Here are the biggest misses and surprises.
Germie Bernard climbed the most and Davante Adams slid the furthest in our rest-of-season rankings since last Friday. Plus three players to trade for and three to sell.
Five players to start this week, led by D'Andre Swift and C.J. Stroud, and five to bench, including Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce. Plus four hurt players to start if they're cleared.
Week 11 is the toughest bye week left, with six teams and 14 of our model's starters off. Here's who each bye week takes out of your lineup, plus the players whose bye is already done.
We grade our own predictions every week. Week 6: three of our five Start/Sit starts paid off, and 88% of players finished inside our range, the most this season. Here are the biggest misses and surprises.
Mike Evans climbed the most and Deebo Samuel slid the furthest in our rest-of-season rankings since last Friday. Plus three players to trade for and three to sell.
Five players to start this week, led by Jordan Love and Braelon Allen, and three to bench, including Jalen Hurts. Plus four hurt players to start if they're cleared.
Which players have scored fewer touchdowns than their goal-line work says, led by Ashton Jeanty, and which have scored a lot more, led by Jaxon Smith-Njigba. What our model expects from each of them from here.
A plain walk-through of the free Props tab on Pigskin Projections. What the bold number means, how to check a bet's price, what "edge" means, and how accurate the numbers have been.
We grade our own predictions every week. Week 5: our Start/Sit post went 9 for 10, and 61% of all start/sit calls were right. Here are the biggest misses and surprises.
Three players to trade for before their points catch up to their workload, led by Michael Wilson, and three to sell while their numbers look good, led by Mike Gesicki.
Five players to start this week, led by Javonte Williams on Thursday night, and five to bench, including Jalen Hurts, Zay Flowers and Saquon Barkley.
When the injured stars should be back and what the model thinks they're worth when they are. Ja'Marr Chase, Saquon Barkley, Caleb Williams, Justin Jefferson and more.
We grade our own predictions every week. Week 4: 61% of start/sit calls right, 78% of players inside their range, plus the biggest misses and surprises.
Who climbed and who slid in our rest-of-season rankings after Week 4. Kyle Monangai, Tee Higgins and Tetairoa McMillan lead the risers; Josh Downs and DJ Moore lead the fallers.